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GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey Welcome to the GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 software package. You are about to experience the most powerful and the least expensive Football Handicapper on the market. Yes, a bold statement and yes there ARE better programs (I would think?!), but none for the low price of $25 for the 1990 registration fee. How is this for results: 1) in 1989 the System 2 (The True Line Formula) program went 55-43-3 for a 56.1 win percentage. Within that 56.1% was the best bets hitting at a fantastic 30-19-3 for a 61.2 win percentage!; 2) in 1989 the System 3 (Power Ratings/Pointspreads) program went 18-15 for a 54.5 win percentage. Within that 54.5% was the best bets hitting at 18-14 for a 56.3 win percentage. It had been 15-7 (68.2%) after week 12; 3) in 1989 the trends analysis (Best NFL Trends) program identified teams that had positive and/or negative trends. Some of these trends would be very difficult to spot but were very profitable when identified. Overall, I did quite well last year and so can you! DO RIGHT by the gambler's code of ethics! Register your GAMBLER'S MATE now! LIMIT OF LIABILITY GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 (programs and instruction manual) is distributed "AS IS", without warranty as to their performance or fitness to any particular purpose. The entire risk as to the results and performance of these programs is assumed by the buyer. The author disclaims all warranties, expressed or implied. The author will assume no liability for damages or losses either from the direct use of this product or as a consequence of the use of this product. As shareware, GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 can be freely distributed in its unmodified form for non-commercial use. If after the evaluation period you have found this software to be of use, payment to the author is expected. It may not be offered for resale without the express written consent of Mark E. Savey. By registering the GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 you will have received the most current year's GAMBLER'S MATE edition. The current 1990 Football Edition will be sent by using this registration. Also, registered users earn the right to renew this licensing agreement, to obtain next year's entire GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1991 software package, for a nominal fee of $15 (fill out and send the REGISTER.DOC). *** PAYMENT MUST BE IN US DOLLARS OR YOUR ORDER CAN NOT BE PROCESSED *** ** SORRY CREDIT CARDS CAN NOT BE ACCEPTED ** All users registering two weeks before the 1990 NFL season will receive their Football Edition before week 1 of the NFL season. Allow up to 2 weeks for delivery. Any user can obtain all updated DATA files by sending a 5 1/4 disk in a self addressed mailer to the address shown on page 21 (and in REGISTER.DOC), and include $6 to cover the update fee, postage, and handling ($11 for overseas). page 01 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS The GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 has been tested and will run on most systems. It requires one each of the following: 1) 100% IBM compatible machines utilizing the 8086/8088/80286 or 80386 (and probably the 80486) processor chip; 2) must have a minimum of 256k RAM; 3) Monochrome/Hercules/CGA/EGA or VGA monitor; 4) minimum of one single floppy diskette drive. *** Note: You must have your DOS's MORE command in your path to use the "View/Print" options or else copy it on your GAMBLER'S MATE floppy or directory; 5) systems without a hard disk may have to remove some of the older prediction files to save space. They are in the format of ??WEEKnn.90, where nn is the week number. ** STARTUP Let's get started! If you have a hard disk, make a separate GAMBLER'S MATE directory. From the hard disk (C: drive), copy all GAMBLER'S MATE files from the floppy diskette into it. For those with a hard disk and who need help doing the above, do the following: 1) MD C:\GM 2) COPY/V A:*.* C:\GM 3) CD \GM and that's all there is to it. If you do NOT have a hard disk, you will be using a floppy diskette with your unregistered copy of GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 or else you will be using your registered, labeled and fully licensed GAMBLER'S MATE diskette. To start, type GM at the DOS prompt. Your registered copy of GAMBLER'S MATE has YOUR name and serial number on the opening screen. The unregistered opening screen looks as follows: ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING: ** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ Unregistered Copy- for evaluation only. SHAREWARE Registration fee is only $25 ! DO RIGHT by the gambler's code of ethics! Register your GAMBLER'S MATE now! PRESS '$' TO START page 02 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey You continue by pressing the '$'. You will receive the GAMBLER'S MATE MAIN MENU. The first three choices give predictions. Choice four is a supplement to view weekly stats. Program five, YEARLY UPDATE should NOT be used once the season starts, as it could destroy data files. It is there in case of emergency file maintenance. Also, do NOT use the file creation segments for next year's data files as the format WILL change next year and you WILL receive erroneous results! ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING:** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 MAIN MENU BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ 1= NFL SYSTEM 2 4= CHECK NFL THE TRUE LINE FORMULA CHECK STATS FOR SYSTEMS 2= NFL SYSTEM 3 5= YEARLY UPDATE POINT SPREADS/POWER RATINGS USE BEFORE SEASON STARTS 3= BEST NFL TRENDS 0= END ALL PROGRAMS LOOKS FOR TRENDS IN FILES Unregistered Copy- for evaluation only. SHAREWARE Registration fee is only $25 ! DO RIGHT by the gambler's code of ethics! Register your GAMBLER'S MATE now! ====MAIN MENU CHOICE ONE (1) THE TRUE LINE FORMULA is made up of many features. On the NFL System 2 menu (shown on the next page), you will use the following: Choice One will: 1) update/check the vital files that are used for output; 2) track all games with its win/lose/tie record keeper; 3) play WHAT IF? with any two teams who aren't playing against each other this week, but can be matched up as if they were! This is used for playoff matchups. Choice Two will run the Prediction mode. You enter the week to be predicted and decide if you want automatic printing on your printer when done. THE TRUE LINE FORMULA (my own NFL System 2) is engineered to analyze each matchup and determine its own line on each game. It is the comparison, to be later described in depth, of the actual Las Vegas lines with THE TRUE LINE FORMULA'S output that generates the picks. Choice Three will view or print the output that has been created for the any week of action. BUT it needs to have YOUR DOS's MORE command in your path or else copy it on your GAMBLER'S MATE floppy or directory. You MUST UPDATE your files after each week of NFL games is completed. page 03 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING:** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 LINE ANALYSIS Section presents: ** THE TRUE LINE FORMULA ** BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ SYSTEM 2: MAIN MENU 1=UPDATE / CHECK FILES / RECORD / WHAT IF? 2=RUN SYSTEM 2 : TRUE LINE FORMULA 3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM SYSTEM 2 0=END CHOOSE MENU CHOICE ** After choosing "1" on MAIN MENU above you will have more choices. When choosing "1" off of the TRUE LINE FORMULA submenu, "1=UPDATE PTS FOR/ALLOWED: INDIVIDUALLY BY TEAM", you will enter the week to be updated (after all games are completed) and see the schedule for the week chosen (in this case week 1) automatically appear for ease of data entry. After you enter the Road team's score, the Home team will be automatically entered. Any teams that are idle will be automatically updated first. UPDATING WEEK 1 , GAME NUMBER 1 FOR 1990 ENTER ROAD TEAM'S SCORE (ENTER '-1' FOR LAST MENU) MINNESOTA OFF DEF WEEK PTS. PTS. ════ ════ ════ 1 ? 0 ? 0 Now updating HOME TEAM'S score KANSAS CITY OFF DEF WEEK PTS. PTS. ════ ════ ════ 1 0 0 page 04 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** When choosing "2" off of the TRUE LINE FORMULA submenu, "2=CHECK PTS FOR/ALLOWED: INDIVIDUALLY BY TEAM", you will enter the team number corresponding to the listing on the last page of this manual, and also enter the week to be checked back from. Team scores will be displayed from the chosen week back to last year's totals. Below we chose the NY Jets (20) and week 11 (this year- that's why no scores!). CHECKING PTS_F-A.90 FOR N.Y. JETS PTS PTS WEEK FOR AGNT ════ ════ ════ 11 0 0 10 0 0 9 0 0 8 0 0 7 0 0 6 0 0 5 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 253 411 HIT ANY KEY TO CONTINUE ** When choosing "3" off of the TRUE LINE FORMULA submenu, "3= CHECK ALL NEWLY ENTERED SCORE UPDATES", you will enter the week to be checked. All games will be displayed with the appropriate team scores. Below we chose week 1 before the season started and no updates have been done. FOR 1990 TEAM PF PA FOR WEEK 1 TEAM PF PA MINNESOTA 0 0 INDIANAPOLIS 0 0 KANSAS CITY 0 0 BUFFALO 0 0 PHOENIX 0 0 N.Y. JETS 0 0 WASHINGTON 0 0 CINCINNATI 0 0 L.A. RAMS 0 0 MIAMI 0 0 GREEN BAY 0 0 NEW ENGLAND 0 0 SEATTLE 0 0 PITTSBURGH 0 0 CHICAGO 0 0 CLEVELAND 0 0 TAMPA BAY 0 0 SAN DIEGO 0 0 DETROIT 0 0 DALLAS 0 0 DENVER 0 0 PHILADELPHIA 0 0 L.A. RAIDERS 0 0 N.Y. GIANTS 0 0 ** MONDAY NIGHT ** HOUSTON 0 0 SAN FRANCISCO 0 0 ATLANTA 0 0 NEW ORLEANS 0 0 HIT ANY KEY TO CONTINUE page 05 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** When choosing "4" off of the TRUE LINE FORMULA submenu, "4= RECORD : NFL SYSTEM 2", you will have the choice to update or check the record. Below we first chose "U" to update then "1" for week and then entered "90" for the year digits. You would enter the appropriate wins/losses/ties and the percentage will be displayed. WEEK WINS LOSS TIES PCT. ════ ════ ════ ════ ════ 1 ? Below we then chose "C" to check then "1" for week and then entered "90" for the year digits. Since no 1990 information was present it read back through 1989 and displayed its findings. WEEK WINS LOSS TIES PCT. ════ ════ ════ ════ ════ 1 0 0 0 .000 1990 0 0 0 .000 *************************************** *** THE OVERALL TOTALS NFL SYSTEM 2 *** *************************************** *TOT* 55 43 3 .561 ** When choosing "5" off of the TRUE LINE FORMULA submenu, "5=WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM", you will have the choice to play by hitting the spacebar or else leave by using the return or enter key. The idea behind WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM IS TO MATCH ANY TWO TEAMS TOGETHER IN ANY WEEK (from Week 1 to Current Week), even though they may never meet in the regular season...BUT WHAT IF? they did! Also, don't forget the playoffs!!! Use WEEK 18 for all PLAYOFF matchups. Hit the SPACEBAR to check it out. Or NOT, hit RETURN. **NOTE: YOU MUST HAVE ALREADY RUN THE PREDICT OPTION FOR THE REQUESTED WEEK. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS FOR WEEK 18. IN THAT CASE, YOU MUST HAVE ALREADY RUN WEEK 17. ** After hitting the spacebar, you will see, on the next page, all teams assigned their number that corresponds to the listing on the last page of this manual. You will choose team one to be the away team and team two as the home team and then enter the week. Note: you must have already run the predict option for the requested week. This means that you must have made your updates! Below we chose Dallas at San Francisco on week 1. page 06 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM 1 ATLANTA 21 PHILADELPHIA 2 BUFFALO 22 PITTSBURGH 3 CHICAGO 23 PHOENIX 4 CINCINNATI 24 SAN DIEGO 5 CLEVELAND 25 SAN FRANCISCO 6 DALLAS 26 SEATTLE 7 DENVER 27 TAMPA BAY 8 DETROIT 28 WASHINGTON 9 GREEN BAY 10 HOUSTON 0=MAIN MENU FOR TEAMS/WEEK 11 INDIANAPOLIS 12 KANSAS CITY 13 L.A. RAIDERS PICK TEAM ONE? 6 14 L.A. RAMS 15 MIAMI PICK TEAM TWO? 25 16 MINNESOTA 17 NEW ENGLAND ENTER WEEK? 1 18 NEW ORLEANS 19 N.Y. GIANTS 20 N.Y. JETS ** The predicted results are listed below. 1990 NFL SYSTEM 2 WHAT IF? DALLAS vs SAN FRANCISCO IN WEEK 1 FINAL SCORE ------------- DALLAS 8.5 SAN FRANCISCO 32.5 ** After entering the necessary values to return to the TRUE LINE FORMULA MAIN MENU on page 4, we chose "2" from the TRUE LINE FORMULA MAIN MENU, "2=RUN SYSTEM 2 : TRUE LINE FORMULA". This invokes the predict option. You can choose this for week one ONLY, without doing file updates! You must update your files weekly. You are asked for the week and whether you want automatic printing of the output. There will always be an output file for your reference (by using option 3 View/Print, from the page 4 menu). ** The system will calculate all scores for all matchups and create the output file. It is YOUR job to then manually compare the actual Las Vegas lines with the output from THE TRUE LINE FORMULA (pg 08 is 1989). Note that only the teams/scores appear on output, but I have added the "worksheet" on how to decipher and create your plays. I do something similar when I do my own. I print out the file and then do my calculations in pencil on the output sheet. page 07 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ******************************** 1989 NFL SYSTEM 2 WEEK 1 This value ******************************** MUST be 4 Final Vegas line Subtotal or greater Score CINCINNATI 19.0 3.5 22.5 1 14 CHICAGO 21.5 21.5 17 DALLAS 13.0 5 18 /tie for \ 0 NEW ORLEANS 24.0 24 6 =\1st play/ 28 WINNER L.A. RAMS 24.0 24 2 31 ATLANTA 16.0 6 22 21 PHOENIX 19.0 19 16 DETROIT 20.0 1.5 21.5 2.5 13 SAN FRANCISCO 22.0 22 30 INDIANAPOLIS 22.5 3 25.5 3.5 24 TAMPA BAY 15.5 3 18.5 23 GREEN BAY 19.5 19.5 1 21 CLEVELAND 22.0 22 .5 51 PITTSBURGH 19.0 2.5 21.5 0 NEW ENGLAND 16.5 2.5 19 27 N.Y. JETS 22.0 22 3 24 HOUSTON 19.5 5 24.5 /tie for \ 7 MINNESOTA 30.5 30.5 6=\1st play/ 38 WINNER BUFFALO 23.0 23 2 27 MIAMI 17.0 4 21 24 SEATTLE 19.0 5 24 7 PHILADELPHIA 25.5 25.5 1.5 31 KANSAS CITY 16.5 6 22.5 1 20 DENVER 21.5 21.5 34 SAN DIEGO 15.5 3 18.5 14 L.A. RAIDERS 22.0 22 3.5 40 **MONDAY NIGHT** N.Y. GIANTS 24.0 4 28 6=/tie for \ 27 WINNER WASHINGTON 22.0 22 \1st play/ 24 TO DATE (+4.0 OR MORE) 1st PICK 2nd PICK 3rd PICK TOTALS ------------------------ ------------ ------------ ------------ ---------- SUB TOT: - - - - - - - - - - THIS WK: 3 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 - 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTALS: 3 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 - 0 page 08 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** Again, I want to state that the calculations to find plays are to this point, manually done by you the user. This will be a planned enhancement for next year! Don't miss out. REMEMBER: the difference must be 4 points or greater to become a play. Do not give the wrong team the value. Follow the examples on page 08 for the actual week 1 of 1989. The greatest difference becomes your first play, the next highest is second and so on. Ties in highest values are rated as such, do not fill in. For example, here are five of the highest values in a hypothetical week -values of 10, 10, 6.5, 6.5 and 6. The two values of 10 are the 1st pick, the two 6.5 values are the THIRD pick, as there is NO second pick! The fifth pick would have been the 6, but I have not tracked down that far. It's possible to have more than three picks total, but do not go lower than pick three. ** After entering the necessary values to return to the TRUE LINE FORMULA MAIN MENU on page 4, we chose "3" from the TRUE LINE FORMULA MAIN MENU, "3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM SYSTEM 2". You will be prompted for a week to view then you will asked if you wish to have the file printed. Again, to use this option, you must have access to your DOS's MORE command. ====MAIN MENU CHOICE TWO (2) POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS is made up of many features. On the NFL System 3 menu (shown on the next page), you will use the following: Choice One will: 1) check the vital files that are used for output; 2) track all games with its win/lose/tie record keeper; 3) play WHAT IF? with any two teams who aren't playing against each other this week, but can be matched up as if they were! This is used for playoff matchups. Choice Two will run the Prediction mode. You enter the week to be predicted and decide if you want automatic printing on your printer when done. POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS (my own NFL System 3) is engineered to analyze each matchup and determine a power rating based on the last sixteen games that each team has played. It figures all sixteen opponents' wins and losses and gives a declining weight on recent wins/losses and factors each opponent's strength (wins in last 16 games). The power ratings are stored in a file (POWER_RT.S3) and then an algorithm is executed to relate the power ratings to a numerical pointspread. It is by far the most sophisticated program in the GAMBLER'S MATE software arsenal. This program will take a bit longer to run than the rest, especially if using only floppies. As in THE TRUE LINE FORMULA, it is the comparison (a little different though), to be later described in depth, of the actual Las Vegas lines with POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS output that generates the picks. Choice Three will view or print the output that has been created for the next week of action. BUT it needs to have YOUR DOS's MORE command in your path or else copy it on your GAMBLER'S MATE floppy or directory. page 09 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING:** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 POWER RATINGS SECTION PRESENTS: ** POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS** BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ SYSTEM 3: MAIN MENU 1=CHECK FILES / RECORD / WHAT IF? 2=RUN SYSTEM 3 : POINTSPREADS AND POWER RATINGS 3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM SYSTEM 3 0=END CHOOSE MENU CHOICE ** After choosing "1" on MAIN MENU above you will have more choices. When choosing "1" off of the POINT SPREADS/ POWER RATINGS submenu, "1=CHECK POWER RATINGS : ALL TEAMS BY THE WEEK", you will enter the week and then the year to be checked. You will see the system generate a listing of all teams, starting with the highest power rated team and finishing with the lowest. All teams are rated and placed in numerical order. Usually teams that have a 40 or above are considered playoff caliber teams. This is the actual listing that you can generate for week 1. These are the Power Ratings a team has going into their next game. CHECK: ALL TEAMS BY THE WEEK- WEEK # 1 # TEAM RT. # TEAM RT. - ---- ---- - ---- ---- 1 SAN FRANCISCO 107 15 SEATTLE 5 2 N.Y. GIANTS 68 16 L.A. RAIDERS 3 3 NEW ORLEANS 50 17 INDIANAPOLIS -5 4 PHILADELPHIA 47 18 CINCINNATI -10 5 L.A. RAMS 43 19 BUFFALO -11 6 WASHINGTON 42 20 SAN DIEGO -13 7 GREEN BAY 38 21 MIAMI -28 8 MINNESOTA 37 22 NEW ENGLAND -59 9 KANSAS CITY 32 23 CHICAGO -63 10 DENVER 31 24 N.Y. JETS -67 11 DETROIT 30 25 TAMPA BAY -76 12 PITTSBURGH 28 26 PHOENIX -87 13 CLEVELAND 22 27 ATLANTA -96 14 HOUSTON 13 28 DALLAS -100 FOR WEEK 1 1990 page 10 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** When choosing "2" off of the POINT SPREADS/ POWER RATINGS submenu, "2=CHECK POWER RATINGS : ONE TEAM BY ALL WEEKS", you will enter the team, week and year to be checked. You will see the system generate a listing of the selected team, starting with the selected week and finishing with week one. This is useful when looking for streaking teams. Usually teams that have a 40 or above are considered playoff caliber teams. I chose team 20 (NY Jets), week 1 for 1990. CHECK: ONE TEAM BY ALL WEEKS- FOR N.Y. JETS FOR POWER WEEK RATING ---- ------ 1 -67 HIT ANY KEY TO CONTINUE ** When choosing "4" (there is NO "3") off of the POINT SPREAD / POWER RATING submenu, "4= RECORD : NFL SYSTEM 3", you will have the choice to update or check the record. Below we first chose "U" to update then "1" for week and then entered "90" for the year digits. You would enter the appropriate wins/losses/ties and the percentage will be displayed. WEEK WINS LOSS TIES PCT. ════ ════ ════ ════ ════ 1 ? Below we then chose "C" to check then "1" for week and then entered "90" for the year digits. Since no 1990 information was present it read back through 1989 and displayed its findings. WEEK WINS LOSS TIES PCT. ════ ════ ════ ════ ════ 1 0 0 0 .000 1990 0 0 0 .000 *************************************** *** THE OVERALL TOTALS NFL SYSTEM 3 *** *************************************** *TOT* 18 15 0 .545 ** When choosing "5" off of the POINT SPREAD / POWER RATING submenu, "5=WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM", you will have the choice to play by hitting the spacebar or else leave by using the return or enter key. The idea behind WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM IS TO MATCH ANY TWO TEAMS TOGETHER IN ANY WEEK (from Week 1 to Current Week), even though they may never meet in the regular season...BUT WHAT IF? they did! Also, don't forget the playoffs!!! Use WEEK 18 for all PLAYOFF matchups. Hit the SPACEBAR to check it out. Or NOT, hit RETURN. **NOTE: YOU MUST HAVE ALREADY RUN THE PREDICT OPTION FOR THE REQUESTED WEEK. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS FOR WEEK 18. IN THAT CASE, YOU MUST HAVE ALREADY RUN WEEK 17. page 11 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** After hitting the spacebar, you will see below, all teams assigned their number that corresponds to the listing on the last page of this manual. You will choose team one to be the away team and team two as the home team and then enter the week. Note: you must have already run the predict option for the requested week. This means that you must have made your updates! Below we chose Dallas at San Francisco on week 1. WHAT IF?: TEAM vs TEAM 1 ATLANTA 21 PHILADELPHIA 2 BUFFALO 22 PITTSBURGH 3 CHICAGO 23 PHOENIX 4 CINCINNATI 24 SAN DIEGO 5 CLEVELAND 25 SAN FRANCISCO 6 DALLAS 26 SEATTLE 7 DENVER 27 TAMPA BAY 8 DETROIT 28 WASHINGTON 9 GREEN BAY 10 HOUSTON 0=MAIN MENU FOR TEAMS/WEEK 11 INDIANAPOLIS 12 KANSAS CITY 13 L.A. RAIDERS PICK TEAM ONE? 6 14 L.A. RAMS 15 MIAMI PICK TEAM TWO? 25 16 MINNESOTA 17 NEW ENGLAND ENTER WEEK? 1 18 NEW ORLEANS 19 N.Y. GIANTS 20 N.Y. JETS ** The predicted results are listed below. 1990 NFL SYSTEM 3 WHAT IF? DALLAS vs SAN FRANCISCO IN WEEK 1 PT. PWR SPR RT. ----- ----- DALLAS -100 +14.5 SAN FRANCISCO 107 ** After entering the necessary values to return to the POINT SPREAD / POWER RATING MENU (page 10), we chose "2" from the POINT SPREAD / POWER RATING Main menu, "2=RUN SYSTEM 3 : POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS". This invokes the predict option. You can choose this for week one ONLY, file updates in other programs are necessary. You must update your files weekly. You are asked for the week and whether you want automatic printing of the output. There will always be an output file for your reference (by using option 3 View/Print, from the page 4 menu). page 12 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** The system will calculate all scores for all matchups and create the output file. It is YOUR job to then manually compare the actual Las Vegas lines with the output from POINT SPREADS / POWER RATINGS (1989 below). Note that only the teams/scores appear on output, but I have added the "worksheet" on how to decipher and create your plays. I do something similar when I do my own. I print out the file and then do my calculations in pencil on the output sheet. ******************************** 1989 NFL SYSTEM 3 WEEK 5 This value ******************************** Comparative must be 4.5 Final Vegas odds Scoring or greater Score BUFFALO 52 +1.5 E 0 17 INDIANAPOLIS 39 1.5 1.5 37 N.Y. GIANTS 37 +2.5 2.5 2.5 0 19 PHILADELPHIA 43 2.5 21 CINCINNATI 57 1.5 26 PITTSBURGH -1 +1.5 3.5 3.5 2 16 CLEVELAND 55 5 1.5 10 MIAMI -64 +5.0 3.5 3.5 13 DETROIT -86 +9.5 12 12 2.5 17 MINNESOTA 35 9.5 24 HOUSTON 15 +1.0 0 2nd 13 NEW ENGLAND -3 4.5 5.5 5.5=Play 23=WIN DALLAS -107 +6.5 6.5 6.5 0 13 GREEN BAY -32 6.5 31 CHICAGO 87 4 35 TAMPA BAY -18 +4.0 5 5 1 42 PHOENIX -35 +3.0 10 10 7=1st 28=WIN WASHINGTON -21 3 play 30 ATLANTA -66 +11.0 9.5 9.5 14 L.A. RAMS 84 11 1.5 26 SAN DIEGO -14 +5.0 7.5 7.5 2.5 10 DENVER 35 5 16 KANSAS CITY -64 +7.5 7 7 20 SEATTLE 21 7.5 .5 16 SAN FRANCISCO 55 4.5 1 24 NEW ORLEANS -55 +4.5 3.5 3.5 20 **MONDAY NIGHT** L.A. RAIDERS -56 +5.0 3 3 14 N.Y. JETS -11 5 2 7 page 13 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey TO DATE (+4.5 OR MORE) 1st PICK 2nd PICK 3rd PICK TOTALS ------------------------ ------------ ------------ ------------ --------- SUB TOT: 4 - 1 - 0 2 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 4 - 1 - 0 THIS WK: 2 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 - 0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS: 6 - 1 - 0 3 - 1 - 0 3 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 6 - 1 - 0 ** Again, I want to state that the calculations to find plays are to this point, manually done by you the user. This will be a planned enhancement for next year! Don't miss out. REMEMBER: the difference must be 4.5 points or greater to become a play for POINTSPREADS / POWER RATINGS. Do not give the wrong team the value. Follow the examples on previous page for the actual week 5 of 1989. The greatest difference becomes your first play, the next highest is second and so on. Ties in highest values are rated as such, do not fill in. For example, here are five of the highest values in a hypothetical week -values of 10, 10, 6.5, 6.5 and 6. The two values of 10 are the 1st pick, the two 6.5 values are the THIRD pick, as there is NO second pick! The fifth pick would have been the 6, but I have not tracked down that far. You can expect less plays though with this program. ** After entering the necessary values to return to the POINTSPREADS / POWER RATINGS MENU on page 10, we chose "3" from the POINTSPREADS / POWER RATINGS Main menu, "3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM SYSTEM 3". You will be prompted for a week to view then you will asked if you wish to have the file printed. Again, to use this option, you must have access to your DOS's MORE command. ====MAIN MENU CHOICE THREE (3) BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS is made up of many features. On the NFL Trends menu (shown on the next page), you will use the following: Choice One will update/check the vital files that are used for output. Choice Two will run the Prediction mode. You enter the week to be predicted and decide if you want automatic printing on your printer when done. THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS (my own NFL Trends) is engineered to analyze each matchup and execute a trend analysis for both teams and for all matchups. The trends are based on home/away games favorites/dogs statuses and points for/allowed. Many trends are quite popular and others are obscure. IMPORTANT: Not all trends will remain profitable for all seasons. You must pay careful attention to which trends are hot and which trends are cold and go the opposite way! Remember that the theory of large numbers states that all trends are short term events and that they will all average out in the long run analysis. But if a trend is hot go WITH it. If it is cold, they play AGAINST its suggested team. All trends had to have a minimum win percentage of 58% to be programed in. Some may never appear during the season due to their conditions not being present. You can expect many trends to continue their winning ways, for example TREND 26 was 17-8 (68%) in 1989. Some trends will lose too, for example TREND 12 was 2-11 (15.4%), but playing against its selections would have yielded an 84.6% win percentage!!! YOU must be aware during the season. Use your analytical ability and GAMBLER'S MATE! Choice Three will view or print the output that has been created for the next week of action. BUT it needs to have YOUR DOS's MORE in your path or else copy it on your GAMBLER'S MATE floppy or directory. page 14 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING:** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 NFL TRENDS Section presents: ** THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS ** BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ NFL TRENDS: MAIN MENU 1=UPDATE / CHECK FILES 2=RUN NFL TRENDS : THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS 3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM NFL TRENDS 0=END CHOOSE MENU CHOICE ** After choosing "1" on MAIN MENU above you will have more choices. When choosing "1" off of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS submenu, "1=UPDATE WL-SPR. FILE", you will enter the week to be updated. You will see the system display the first game to be updated. First you are to enter the STRAIGHT- UP results, did the team W(in), L(ose) or T(ie)? Then it will prompt you for the SPREAD results, did the team W(in), L(ose) or T(ie) when adding in the spread? The system will automatically generate the opponent's statistics for you. Teams that are idle are updated automatically by the system based on the schedule. Remember it is a 16 game, 17 week season. Each team is given a week off for rest. Next year it may be a 16 game, 18 week season. Below we have updated the first game as if Minnesota @ Kansas City (+2) and Minnesota wins 17-16, but KC wins 18-17 with spread. UPDATING WEEK 1 , GAME NUMBER 1 FOR 1990 WL-SPR.90 ENTER ROAD TEAM'S RESULTS (W OR L OR T), FOR STRAIGHT-UP & SPREAD (ENTER '-1' FOR LAST MENU) MINNESOTA WEEK 1 STRAIGHT-UP? W WEEK 1 VS SPREAD? L WL Now updating HOME TEAM'S stats KANSAS CITY WEEK 1 STRAIGHT-UP? L WEEK 1 VS SPREAD? W LW page 15 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** When choosing "2" off of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS submenu, "2=UPDATE FVRITE. FILE", you will enter the week to be updated. You will see the system display the first game to be updated. You are to enter an F(avorite), D(og) or E(ven) depending if they are giving, getting or even, respectively. Teams that are idle are updated automatically by the system based on the schedule. Remember it is a 16 game, 17 week season. Each team will be given a week off for rest. Next year it may be a 16 game, 18 week season. Below we have updated the first game as if Minnesota @ Kansas City (+2). This infers that Kansas City is a dog since they are getting points. It is the same as Minnesota (-2) @ Kansas City. Since Minnesota is giving points they are the favorite. The scores are NOT entered here. UPDATING WEEK 1 , GAME NUMBER 1 FOR 1990 FVRITE.90 ENTER TEAM'S STATUS (F, D OR E), FOR FAVORITE, DOG OR EVEN (ENTER '-1' FOR LAST MENU) MINNESOTA WEEK 1 'F' OR 'D' OR 'E'? F F Now updating HOME TEAM'S stats KANSAS CITY WEEK 1 'F' OR 'D' OR 'E'? D ** When choosing "3" off of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS submenu, "3= CHECK ALL NEWLY UPDATED TREND INFO", you will asked to enter whether you want to check the WL-SPR.90 or FVRITE.90 file. You then enter the week to be checked. All games will be displayed with the appropriate team stat info. Below we chose the WL-SPR.90 file, and only the fictional Minnesota (-2) @ Kansas City, with Minnesota winning straight-up, but losing versus spread. No other updates have been done. FOR 1990 TEAM SU/ATS FOR WEEK 1 TEAM SU/ATS MINNESOTA WL INDIANAPOLIS KANSAS CITY LW BUFFALO PHOENIX N.Y. JETS WASHINGTON CINCINNATI L.A. RAMS MIAMI GREEN BAY NEW ENGLAND SEATTLE PITTSBURGH CHICAGO CLEVELAND TAMPA BAY SAN DIEGO DETROIT DALLAS DENVER PHILADELPHIA L.A. RAIDERS N.Y. GIANTS ** MONDAY NIGHT ** HOUSTON SAN FRANCISCO ATLANTA NEW ORLEANS page 16 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey Below we chose the FVRITE.90 file, and only the fictional Minnesota (-2) @ Kansas City, with KC being the underdog displays. No other updates have been done. The AF= Away/Favorite and the HD= Home/Dog. HO/DOG FOR 1990 HO/DOG TEAM AW/FAV FOR WEEK 1 TEAM AW/FAV MINNESOTA AF INDIANAPOLIS KANSAS CITY HD BUFFALO PHOENIX N.Y. JETS WASHINGTON CINCINNATI L.A. RAMS MIAMI GREEN BAY NEW ENGLAND SEATTLE PITTSBURGH CHICAGO CLEVELAND TAMPA BAY SAN DIEGO DETROIT DALLAS DENVER PHILADELPHIA L.A. RAIDERS N.Y. GIANTS ** MONDAY NIGHT ** HOUSTON SAN FRANCISCO ATLANTA NEW ORLEANS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * For both the WL-SPR.90 and the FVRITE.90, you may see the letters "II". They stand for Idle/Idle for both categories. There are the idle teams in weeks 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, and 14. ** When choosing "4" off of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS submenu, "4=CHECK WL- SPR. FILE", you will enter the team number corresponding to the listing on the last page of this manual, and also enter the week to be checked back from. Team stats will be displayed from the chosen week back to week one. Below, on the left we chose the Minnesota (16) and week 1 (our fictional scenario again). On the right we chose KC (12) for the same. MINNESOTA KANSAS CITY 1 = WL 1 = LW ** When choosing "5" off of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS submenu, "4=CHECK FVRITE. FILE", you will enter the team number corresponding to the listing on the last page of this manual, and also enter the week to be checked back from. Team stats will be displayed from the chosen week back to week one. Below, on the left we chose the Minnesota (16) and week 1 (our fictional scenario again). On the right we chose KC (12) for the same. MINNESOTA KANSAS CITY 1 = AF 1 = HD page 17 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ** After entering the necessary values to return to THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS MENU on page 15, we chose "2" from THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS MAIN MENU, "2=RUN NFL TRENDS : THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS". This invokes the trend analysis option. You can choose this for week one ONLY, without file updates being made. You must update your files weekly. You are asked for the week and whether you want automatic printing of the output. There will always be an output file for your reference (by using option 3 View/Print, from the page 15 menu). * The system will look at all matchups and search all data files and create the output file. It is YOUR job to then manually compare the actual Las Vegas lines with the output from THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS. Note that you must see which teams qualify, as many teams are choices only if they are favorites or dogs. This process will be automated for next year's programs. Don't miss out! I print out the file and then do my notes in pencil on the output sheet. ** After entering the necessary values to return to THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS MENU on page 15, we chose "3" from THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS MAIN MENU, "3=VIEW / PRINT OUTPUT FROM NFL TRENDS ". You will be prompted for a week to view then you will asked if you wish to have the file printed. Again, to use this option, you must have access to your DOS's MORE command. ====MAIN MENU CHOICE FOUR (4) CHECK NFL is a supplementary program made up of several features. On the CHECK NFL MENU (shown below), you will use the following: Choice One will check the vital files used for output by THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS. You select which file, specify the week and year digits. The screen output looks exactly like that of THE BEST OF THE NFL TRENDS' menu choice 3 (on pages 16 and 17, depending on file choice). Choice Two will check the vital file used for output by THE TRUE LINE FORMULA. You select the file, specify the week and year digits. The screen output looks exactly like that of THE TRUE LINE FORMULA'S menu choice 3 (on page 5). ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ CHECK NFL MENU PROGRAM WILL DISPLAY ALL STATS UPDATED FOR ANY WEEK AND FOR ANY SYSTEM CHOSEN. *CHOOSE SYSTEM TO REVIEW: 1= NFL TRENDS 2= NFL SYSTEM 2 0=END PROGRAM page 18 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ====MAIN MENU CHOICE FIVE (5) YEARLY UPDATE is made up of many maintenance. But, unless necessary, this program should not be used!! It may be necessary, because of a conflict in the baseball playoffs' schedule, to reenter two weeks of the season. It has happened the last two years. A team will be forced, due to baseball, to swap the home field with their opponent for one later in the season. Usually it occurs when both teams are within their own division and since they play twice they just swap home fields. But it does impact two weeks. ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ INTRODUCING:** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION Copyright (c) 1990 YEARLY UPDATE Section presents: ** UPDATING ALL FILES ** BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ PRESS '$' TO START * If you use DURING SEASON, Files may be DESTROYED by using this program ! * ** GAMBLER'S MATE ** 1990 - 1991 FOOTBALL EDITION BY MARK E. SAVEY ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ YEARLY UPDATE : UPDATE WHICH FILE ? 1=WKLY_SCH.: Weekly Schedule 2=PTS_F-A.: Points for/allowed 3=OPP_F-A.: Opponent Points for/allowed 4=WK_TM_OP: Weekly team opponent 5=CHECK SYSTEMS: ALL FILES 6=CREATE NFL TREND FILES: Favs/Dogs and Home/Away 0=END page 19 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey Choice One will create or change the new Weekly Schedule. If you must change weeks of the season, as explained on previous page, you MUST BACKUP all files to another part of the hard disk or another floppy. If you do not, you risk completely disabling your GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 until the data files are replaced! If the unthinkable occurs, replacement files can be purchased for nominal fee (read REGISTER.DOC). -To proceed in changing the Weekly Schedule files: 1) Start YEARLY UPDATE program; 2) From its main menu, chose "5=CHECK SYSTEMS: ALL FILES"; 3) Enter 1 for WKLY_SCH. 4) Enter 90 as the year digits; 5) Enter 1 to CHECK DATA; 6) Now enter a week that must be changed. Record the numerical values for each matchup, carefully keeping track of each upper (away team) and lower (home team) and also noting which matchups need to be changed; 7) Enter 0 to exit; 8) Enter 0 to exit; 9) Enter 0 to exit to main menu 10) From the main menu, chose "1=WKLY_SCH.: Weekly Schedule "; 11) Enter 90 as the year digits; 12) Enter 0 (zero) as file is already created; 13) Choose 1 to update the file; 14) Choose I for Independent weekly processing; 15) Choose O for One at a time; 16) Now enter a week that must be changed. Carefully, enter the correct team number for the away and home teams, incorporating the new changes. Remember, for the weeks that a team can be Idle, the team number gets 50 added to it. Idle teams range from 51 (Atlanta) to 78 (Washington). See last page off manual. Choices Two through Six should NOT be utilized. Again for your own protection, I do NOT recommend exploring in YEARLY UPDATE! All registered users will get more information on YEARLY UPDATE if they request it. This concludes the GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 software package. I request your feedback and suggestions on how to make this a better package. Again I state that GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 is shareware. Alot of hours (years) has gone into the development of the GAMBLER'S MATE, registration if found useful is expected. The accuracy of the information supplied here and the fitness of the GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990 programs for any purpose may change without notice, and should not be construed as any kind of a commitment. No responsibility is assumed for any errors or problems that may be encountered with the use of this product. Mark E. Savey 10178 Russwill Lane Union, KY 41091-9518 USA o Compuserve Id: [74716,1720] o InterLink GAMBLING and SPORTS conferences SPECIAL THANKS has to go to "The Shadow" for all his time and help with the GAMBLER'S MATE label design, it is much appreciated!!! page 20 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey ****** Coming Soon: -GAMBLER'S MATE: Thoroughbred Edition Dosage Master This program is still under construction but more than 60% completed. Dosage is a system that attempts to predict the distance potential of horses based on certain sires in the first four generations of their pedigrees. These certain sires are called chefs-de-race (french for "chiefs of the breed"). Chefs are divided into five aptitudinal categories: Brilliant, Intermediate, Classic, Solid and Professional. The categories correspond to a range of distance potential from Brilliant (highest speed and lowest stamina) to Professional (lowest speed and highest stamina). Classic represents the "ideal" balance of speed and stamina. Many chefs are assigned to two categories and their "points" split between those two categories. I have found that this program, even in its rawest form, has a distinct advantage in predicting the three year old triple crown races and their preps. If you have not heard, this method is undefeated since 1929 (yes!) in the Kentucky Derby. Horses with the allowable range of acceptable numbers (Dosage Index of 4.0 or less and Center of Distribution of 1.25 or less) that are calculated, have never lost a derby! Quite an impressive streak, wouldn't you say?! The system had Unbridled (1990 Kentucky Derby winner) who paid $21.60 for a single $2 wager. Dosage Master features the ability to calculate, display, print and save any thoroughbred's dosage index, dosage profile and center of distribution. Send me a postcard if interested. It will be incentive to finish and publicly release Dosage Master. Let me know what BBS you read this on and also your experiences in horse racing and using the dosage method. Please remit to: Mark E. Savey CompuServe Id 10178 Russwill Lane # 74716,1720 Union, KY 41091-9518 USA page 21 GAMBLER'S MATE: Football Edition 1990-Copyright (c) 1990 by Mark E. Savey *** TABLE OF TEAM ROSTER NUMBERS *** |------------------------------------------| Roster | Idle \___never use unless necessary as | Team Name Number | Number/ in YEARLY UPDATE (page 20) | --------- -------- | ---------------------------------------- | Atlanta Falcons 1 | 51 Buffalo Bills 2 | 52 Chicago Bears 3 | 53 Cincinnati Bengals 4 | 54 Cleveland Browns 5 | 55 Dallas Cowboys 6 | 56 Denver Broncos 7 | 57 Detroit Lions 8 | 58 Green Bay Packers 9 | 59 Houston Oilers 10 | 60 Indianapolis Colts 11 | 61 Kansas City Chiefs 12 | 62 Los Angeles Raiders 13 | 63 Los Angeles Rams 14 | 64 Miami Dolphins 15 | 65 Minnesota Vikings 16 | 66 New England Patriots 17 | 67 New Orleans Saints 18 | 68 New York Giants 19 | 69 New York Jets 20 | 70 Philadelphia Eagles 21 | 71 Pittsburgh Steelers 22 | 72 Phoenix Cardinals 23 | 73 San Diego Chargers 24 | 74 San Francisco 49ers 25 | 75 Seattle Seahawks 26 | 76 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 | 77 Washington Redskins 28 | 78 page 22